Each month a representative from the American Immigration Lawyers Association meets with Charlie Oppenheim, the man behind the visa bulletin curtain, to get a sense of how the priority dates may advance (or not!) in the coming months. In June's meeting, Charlie made the following observations and predictions:
- EB-1 China and India: He expects the priority date will remain at Jan 1, 2012 for the rest of the fiscal year and will become current again in October
- EB-1 Worldwide: Charlie notes that there is significant demand in this area, and predicts that he may need to establish a cut-off date for this category in August or September. If that happens, people eligible for that category will not be able file the I-485 if their priority date is not current. Therefore, if you are thinking of applying in this category and want to file the I-485 concurrently, you may consider doing that now.
- EB-2 India: The July priority date is March 15, 2009, and Charlie expects this to hold for the rest of the fiscal year. He has seen significant demand for this category.
- EB-2 Worldwide: Charlie also notes significant demand in this category, and anticipates that he may need to establish a cut off date for this category in August or September of this year. Therefore, if you are eligible to file in this category and are ready to file the I-485, you may consider doing that now, rather than waiting and assuming it will still be open later this summer or fall.
- EB-2 China and EB-3 China: Charlie notes that there have been a lot of downgrades from EB-2 to EB-3, meaning there is now a lot more demand for EB-3. As a result, China EB-2 is a full two years ahead of EB-3. He anticipates that there will be no more forward movement for China EB-3 for the rest of the year, and that the date will return to 6/1/2015 in October, when the new fiscal year starts.
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